Quarterly Commentary

  • Q1 2021

    Just over a year ago the World Health Organization declared the coronavirus a global pandemic. Few would have predicted the returns experienced in global equity markets over the following 12 months. With widespread economic disruption, any company demonstrating growth — regardless of profitability — became a rare commodity, and investors bid prices higher.

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  • Q4 2020

    At Saturna, we entered 2020 with cautious optimism.  Geopolitical uncertainties, rich corporate valuations, and stretched monetary policies kept us vigilant, while generally strong business and economic fundamentals supported optimism.  What we didn’t foresee was the looming pandemic, widespread economic shutdowns, and rapid government intervention.

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  • Q3 2020

    The markets charted an aggressive course through the third quarter. Following the abrupt sell-off late in the first quarter, the S&P 500 Index quickly recovered in the second quarter and accelerated its ascent through the end of August, then dipped dramatically in early September, rebounding again in the last week of the third quarter.

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  • Q2 2020

    Despite the economic carnage afflicting the global economy since the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic, by the end of the first quarter, the stock market had already plumbed its greatest depths, with March 23 marking a nadir. Over the course of the second quarter, while not recovering all the lost ground from the February peak, the market roared back...

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  • Q1 2020

    After a buoyant start to the new decade, investors suddenly woke to the realization that the novel coronavirus and associated COVID-19 illness are serious issues with unpredictable, yet hugely significant economic ramifications. 

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  • Q4 2019

    2019 was a great year for equity markets, with the S&P 500 Index returning 31.49%, the best annual profit since 2013. At Saturna, we’re not forecasting 2020 to generate the outsized gains seen in 2019. Still, we enter the new decade optimistically.

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  • Q3 2019

    · Volatility in August after the S&P 500 Index surged to new highs in July
    · Political unrest in Hong Kong
    · Saturna analysts identify risks in carbon-intensive industries
    · Business Roundtable results in sweeping commitments by CEOs

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  • Q2 2019

    Looking at the 18.54% total return for the S&P 500 through the first half of the year, the 14.49% return for the MSCI EAFE Index (non-US developed world), or the 10.58% gain for the MSCI Emerging Markets ETF, one could be forgiven for believing world economies have entered a Golden Era of buoyant confidence, linear expansion, and wisely benign governance. If only we were so lucky.

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These reports should not be considered as providing investment advice or services, or any service offered by Saturna. Saturna may not have taken any steps to ensure that the securities referred to in these reports are suitable for any particular investor. Saturna will not treat recipients as its customers by virtue of their reading or receiving the reports.

Performance data quoted represents past performance which is no guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Standardized returns current to the most recent month-end can be obtained by visiting Month-end Performance.